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Trump's power of political retribution will be tested this week in Indiana primary

Outside a polling place in West Lafayette, Ind., Republican state Sen. Spencer Deery greets voters arriving for early voting on April 28. Deery is a Republican incumbent President Trump has targeted after he opposed the president's redistricting push in Indiana.
Tamara Keith
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NPR
Outside a polling place in West Lafayette, Ind., Republican state Sen. Spencer Deery greets voters arriving for early voting on April 28. Deery is a Republican incumbent President Trump has targeted after he opposed the president's redistricting push in Indiana.

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Knocking on doors in West Lafayette, Indiana, Spencer Deery is campaigning for his political life.

The state senator zips from door to door of a subdivision on an electric scooter he bought on Amazon, which he says improves his efficiency. He writes his cell number on a glossy campaign flyer and leaves it at one house after another, hoping to persuade voters one by one that he's not the RINO (Republican in name only) they've heard about in the TV ads.

"It's really going to come down to one issue, and that is how many people just believe the ads," Deery said.

Deery is one of seven incumbent Republican state senators up for re-election, who late last year voted against President Trump's mid-decade redistricting push in Indiana.

Indiana state Sen. Spencer Deery rides his electric scooter to canvass neighborhoods in his district on April 28  ahead of Indiana's primary election.
Tamara Keith / NPR
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NPR
Indiana state Sen. Spencer Deery rides his electric scooter to canvass neighborhoods in his district on April 28 ahead of Indiana's primary election.

It was a rare political defeat for Trump at the hands of his own party. In a post on Truth Social, Trump said those Republicans should be ashamed of themselves and "every one of these people should be primaried."

It wasn't an idle threat.

A Trump-aligned dark money group funneled $1.5 million to an organization running TV ads against the incumbents in Indiana. And that ended up being just the beginning.

In all, according to a tally from AdImpact, nearly $7 million has been spent on TV ads this year in Indiana state senate races, the bulk of it aimed at defeating the Republicans who voted against the redrawn congressional maps.

"It's an all-in campaign to support the challengers to give them, I think a very good chance of winning and being the new senators," said David McIntosh, a former congressman from Indiana and president of The Club for Growth, which is spending an additional roughly $2 million in the state, mostly on mailers.

The primary is Tuesday, and the results will be a test of Trump's power of political retribution.

"This was a top political priority of President Trump's and [he] was very clear about that," said Marty Obst, a long-time Republican political consultant in Indiana, who led the redistricting push. "And the bottom line is there's consequences and accountability to those actions."

Indiana state senate hopeful Paula Copenhaver stands with supporters at a Turning Point USA event April 18. Copenhaver is challenging incumbent state Sen. Spencer Deery and has President Trump's endorsement.
Ben Thorp / WFYI
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WFYI
Indiana state senate hopeful Paula Copenhaver stands with supporters at a Turning Point USA event April 18. Copenhaver is challenging incumbent state Sen. Spencer Deery and has President Trump's endorsement.

Obst is now working to deliver those consequences. He says several outside groups aligned with the president worked with Trump's political team to recruit the seven challengers and are throwing big money behind the effort to get them elected.

"They've been highly engaged in Indiana and both directly and indirectly have put together a robust political operation," said Obst.

Paula Copenhaver, state Sen. Spencer Deery's Trump-backed challenger, told WFYI's Ben Thorp that she got a call from one of the president's political advisors in January. By early March, she and the other challengers were in the Oval Office at the White House posing for photos with the president.

"To meet him, to shake his hand, to have a conversation with him and realize how genuine and authentic of a real person that he is," said Copenhaver, "it is truly humbling. And to know that he is looking at a state senate race."

Copenhaver says her race is about more than retribution. It's about doing what's right for the state — and the country — when called to do so.

"By not redistricting, voting to redistrict for the state of Indiana, when we have an opportunity to do good and we don't, then that is a grave concern for me," she said.

Jim Buck has served in the Indiana state senate for 18 years and says what's happening now is unprecedented.

"We've never had Washington meddle into our elections like they have this time," Buck said. "I spent $150,000 here. That was big money."

That big money seems like pocket change this election cycle.

"Now I've got over $1,000,000 against me in one race," he added.

Indiana state Sen. Jim Buck has served in the state senate for 18 years. He's facing the toughest re-election of his career after voting against redistricting and facing political consequences brought by President Trump and his allies.
Tamara Keith / NPR
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NPR
Indiana state Sen. Jim Buck has served in the state senate for 18 years. He's facing the toughest re-election of his career after voting against redistricting and facing political consequences brought by President Trump and his allies.

He didn't think drawing new congressional lines was right for Indiana, and stuck with his principles at great cost politically.

He says he was warned by members of the state's congressional delegation.

"They said 'Jim, they're going to come at you with everything possible, they're going to try to destroy your name, destroy your reputation and they're going to bring money you wouldn't imagine,'" recalled Buck. "Well, they were right."

Buck laughs, and moves on to the next house, campaigning door to door as he has done so many times before.

At a house with windchimes out front, he meets Pat Murphy, who asks what Buck thinks of the president.

"I worked my fanny off for him in '16, '20 and '24," Buck said. "I like a lot of the things he's doing. I don't like how he's meddling in the state's business on redistricting."

Murphy tells Buck he's "out on" Trump. "I was in on him, but I'm out on him." The conversation quickly moves on to toll roads and the Ten Commandments.

Former President Ronald Reagan is known for citing an eleventh commandment, "thou shalt not speak ill of another Republican."

But for President Trump, there's a different rule for Republicans: don't cross him, or you'll face the consequences.

A political advisor to president Trump, not authorized to speak on the record, said the incumbents are headed to their "political slaughter" and there's plenty of campaign cash to both send a message in Indiana and defend Republican majorities in the House and Senate in the midterms this fall.

Deery, who was first elected to Indiana's 23rd senate district in 2022, says he knew a primary challenge was a possibility when he voted against redistricting, but having the full weight of the president's political machine bearing down on him and the other incumbents, is not an experience he could have imagined.

Indiana state Sen. Spencer Deery waits to speak to a voter as he goes door-to-door campaigning for re-election ahead of Indiana's primary where he faces a President Trump-backed challenger and millions spent to defeat him and other Republicans who voted against redistricting in the state.
Tamara Keith / NPR
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NPR
Indiana state Sen. Spencer Deery waits to speak to a voter as he goes door-to-door campaigning for re-election ahead of Indiana's primary where he faces a President Trump-backed challenger and millions spent to defeat him and other Republicans who voted against redistricting in the state.

Campaigning outside an early voting location, Deery says he barely has to introduce himself to the voters anymore because his face is so ubiquitous in the never-ending negative campaign ads. Several people walking up to the polling place recognize him immediately. Some give him a cold stare, others praise him for pushing back on redistricting.

"I've never voted for a Republican, except one time, but I went and voted for you because of all the negative ads against you," voter Bharat Bhargava tells him unprompted.

But Deery isn't some anti-Trump resistance figure. He just found himself on the wrong side of one issue. He thinks the top three issues in this campaign are affordability, affordability and affordability. But this race is now about power.

"What is being set up here is the potential model for any party to raise ridiculous amounts of money in DC and then to use that to try to control the states," said Deery. "That undermines the constitution without a law. It undermines the 10th amendment and the ability of states to make their own decisions."

State's rights is a core conservative principle.

"Let's leave right and wrong out of it for a minute," said Mitch Daniels, a former Republican governor of Indiana, who came out early against the redistricting push. "I just think it's dumb."

"They're spending all this money just to feel better that they whacked somebody that didn't kowtow," he said "Leave out the right and wrong. It's just not very smart."

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Tamara Keith has been a White House correspondent for NPR since 2014 and co-hosts the NPR Politics Podcast, the top political news podcast in America. Keith has chronicled the Trump administration from day one, putting this unorthodox presidency in context for NPR listeners, from early morning tweets to executive orders and investigations. She covered the final two years of the Obama presidency, and during the 2016 presidential campaign she was assigned to cover Hillary Clinton. In 2018, Keith was elected to serve on the board of the White House Correspondents' Association.